Investment under Ambiguity and Regime-Switching Environment

نویسندگان

  • Kwangmoon Kim
  • Minsuk Kwak
  • U Jin Choi
چکیده

We consider all or nothing investment problem with a finite time horizon when the investment opportunity set is changing stochastically over time, especially under Markovian regime-switching environment, and a decision maker faces ambiguity of parameters governing profit flow dynamics of the investment. We apply α-Maxmin Expected Utility(α-MEU) preferences to reflect the ambiguity seeking attitude of decision maker and provide semi-explicit formulas for the expected value of investment and the critical present value of the profit flow. Numerical results show that the critical present value of the profit flow depends on the business cycle and a paramount parameter in investment decision making is related to a investment period. JEL classification : D81, G11

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Irreversible Investment under Competition with Markov Switching Regime ∗

In this paper, we study an investment problem in which two asymmetric firms face competition and the regime characterizing economic conditions follows Markov switching. We derive the value functions and investment thresholds of a leader and a follower. One of the interesting results is that in contrast to the case of no regime switching, even if the current market size is small, both advantaged...

متن کامل

Irreversible Investment with Regime Switching : Revisit with Linear Algebra

We consider irreversible investment problems with regime switching feature under a monopoly setting. Several parameters describing the economic environment vary according to a regime switching with general number of states. We present the derivation of the value function via solving a system of simultaneous ordinary differential equations with knowledge of linear algebra. It is found that the v...

متن کامل

Optimal Investment-Consumption Strategy in a Discrete-Time Model with Regime Switching

This paper analyzes the investment-consumption problem of a risk averse investor in discrete-time model. We assume that the return of a risky asset depends on the economic environments and that the economic environments are ranked and described using a Markov chain with an absorbing state which represents the bankruptcy state. We formulate the investor’s decision as an optimal stochastic contro...

متن کامل

Misalignment on the Persistence of Inflation in Iran

The purpose of this study is to investigate the impact of exchange rate misalignment on inflation persistence. For this purpose, Vector Auto Regression method and Markov Switching model is used for quarterly data during 1989:4 -2014:3. The results show that, the impact of liquidity growth and exchange rate misalignment on inflation persistence is positive. On the other hand, GDP growth has a ne...

متن کامل

Non-Linear Relationships Among Oil Price, Gold Price and Stock Market Returns in Iran: A Multivariate Regime-Switching Approach

In this paper, the effects of oil and gold prices on stock market index are investigated. We use a cointegrated vector autoregressive Markov-switching model to examine the nonlinear properties of these three variables during the period of January 2003 - December 2014. The Markov-switching vector-equilibrium-correction model with three regimes representing "deep recession", "mild recession" and ...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2009